Dataset: 2,042 comments extracted from 20 TikTok videos about Guatemala's 2026 budget proposal.
Video Selection: Posts identified through keyword search, ranked by Interest Index—a metric measuring engagement relative to historical baseline and peer performance.
Sentiment Analysis: Custom classification models trained specifically on this dataset using Guatemalan Spanish, accounting for subject's context, informal language, slang, and orthographic variations.
Bias Correction: Three-method approach applied: Confusion Matrix Inversion (Monte Carlo), Activist Adjustment, and Missing Data Uncertainty (Confidence Interval Inflation).
Why TikTok?
Views reflect genuine interest, not algorithmic filtering
Spontaneous reactions from real users, not coordinated activism
Higher penetration and growth than Facebook in Guatemala (TikTok: ~9.0–10.4 million adult users vs. Facebook: ~8.5–9.5 million)
⚡ Scientifically rigorous: All results independently reproducible
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Topics & Themes:
Probability Analysis:
Presupuesto 2026 TikTok Analysis
Dataset: 2,042 comments extracted from 20 TikTok videos about Guatemala's 2026 budget proposal.
Video Selection: Posts identified through keyword search, ranked by Interest Index—a metric measuring engagement relative to historical baseline and peer performance.
Sentiment Analysis: Custom classification models trained specifically on this dataset using Guatemalan Spanish, accounting for subject's context, informal language, slang, and orthographic variations.
Bias Correction: Three-method approach applied: Confusion Matrix Inversion (Monte Carlo), Activist Adjustment, and Missing Data Uncertainty (Confidence Interval Inflation).
Why TikTok?
Views reflect genuine interest, not algorithmic filtering
Spontaneous reactions from real users, not coordinated activism
Higher penetration and growth than Facebook in Guatemala (TikTok: ~9.0–10.4 million adult users vs. Facebook: ~8.5–9.5 million)
⚡ Scientifically rigorous: All results independently reproducible